Brandon Moreno vs. Deiveson Figueiredo - UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Deiveson Figueiredo by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Anaheim, California, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: UFC Flyweight Title
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Brandon Moreno
20
12
12.5
-200
Deiveson Figueiredo
+145

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Brandon Moreno Deiveson Figueiredo
Main Stats
Age 28 34
Height 67" 65"
Reach 70" 68"
Win Percentage 79.17% 90.91%
Wins 19 21
Losses 6 2
Wins at Weight Class 1 2
Losses at Weight Class 1 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 48.46% 61.19%
Significant Striking Accuracy 39.83% 56.93%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.010 3.963
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.437 3.238
Knockdowns per Fight 0.292 0.946
Striking Impact Differential 10.73% -5.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.09% -1.67%
Striking Output Differential 19.00% -15.83%
Significant Striking Output Differential 9.73% -11.42%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 94.55% 88.47%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 135.16% 104.14%
Striking Defense Percentage 58.56% 49.83%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.780 2.127
Takedowns per Fight 2.047 1.536
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.289 2.955
Takedown Defense 52.00% 70.37%
Takedown Accuracy 47.73% 52.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.638 2.238
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.531 4.381
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.222 2.395
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.487 0.859
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.702 1.135
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.591 0.504
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.312 0.142
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.396 0.173
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.474 0.496
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.188 0.244
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.357 0.362
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.124 0.378
Brandon Moreno History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 12, 2021 UFC Flyweight Title Deiveson Figueiredo Brandon Moreno Brandon Moreno
Dec. 12, 2020 UFC Flyweight Title Deiveson Figueiredo Brandon Moreno None
Nov. 21, 2020 Flyweight Brandon Moreno Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno
March 14, 2020 Flyweight Jussier Formiga Brandon Moreno Brandon Moreno
Dec. 14, 2019 Flyweight Brandon Moreno Kai Kara-France Brandon Moreno
Sept. 21, 2019 Flyweight Brandon Moreno Askar Askarov None
May 19, 2018 Flyweight Brandon Moreno Alexandre Pantoja Alexandre Pantoja
Aug. 5, 2017 Flyweight Sergio Pettis Brandon Moreno Sergio Pettis
April 22, 2017 Flyweight Dustin Ortiz Brandon Moreno Brandon Moreno
Dec. 3, 2016 Flyweight Brandon Moreno Ryan Benoit Brandon Moreno
Oct. 1, 2016 Flyweight Louis Smolka Brandon Moreno Brandon Moreno
Deiveson Figueiredo History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 12, 2021 UFC Flyweight Title Deiveson Figueiredo Brandon Moreno Brandon Moreno
Dec. 12, 2020 UFC Flyweight Title Deiveson Figueiredo Brandon Moreno None
Nov. 21, 2020 UFC Flyweight Title Deiveson Figueiredo Alex Perez Deiveson Figueiredo
July 18, 2020 UFC Flyweight Title Deiveson Figueiredo Joseph Benavidez Deiveson Figueiredo
Feb. 29, 2020 Flyweight Joseph Benavidez Deiveson Figueiredo Deiveson Figueiredo
Oct. 12, 2019 Flyweight Deiveson Figueiredo Tim Elliott Deiveson Figueiredo
July 27, 2019 Flyweight Alexandre Pantoja Deiveson Figueiredo Deiveson Figueiredo
March 23, 2019 Flyweight Jussier Formiga Deiveson Figueiredo Jussier Formiga
Aug. 25, 2018 Flyweight John Moraga Deiveson Figueiredo Deiveson Figueiredo
Feb. 3, 2018 Flyweight Deiveson Figueiredo Joseph Morales Deiveson Figueiredo
Oct. 28, 2017 Flyweight Deiveson Figueiredo Jarred Brooks Deiveson Figueiredo
June 3, 2017 Flyweight Marco Beltran Deiveson Figueiredo Deiveson Figueiredo