UFC Event Results
June 28, 2025UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Model Performance Summary (% Correct)
| WTAI Model | Profit Model | Plain Model | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Card | Undercard | Full | Main Card | Undercard | Full | Main Card | Undercard | Full |
| 80.0% | 80.0% | 80.0% | 60.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 60.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% |
WTAI Model
Main Card: 80.0%
Undercard: 80.0%
Full: 80.0%
Profit Model
Main Card: 60.0%
Undercard: 40.0%
Full: 50.0%
Plain Model
Main Card: 60.0%
Undercard: 40.0%
Full: 50.0%
Selected Bets Results
ROI: -100.00%Parlay #1
Hyder Amil
Win
+134
Strength:
2.0 points
EV:
12.9%
Joshua Van
Win
-128
Strength:
6.0 points
EV:
6.0%
Total Odds
4.17x
Return on $10 Bet
$31.68
The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.
Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.
WTAI = WTAI Model
Profit = Profit Model
Plain = Plain Model
EV = Expected Value
Dec = Decisions (% | #)
Sub = Submissions (% | #)
TKO = TKOs/KOs (% | #)
# = Total Fights
Main Card
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Ilia Topuria
25
21
15
-3.0
25.0%|2
12.5%|1
62.5%|5
8
-460
Charles Oliveira
14.71%|5
58.82%|20
23.53%|8
34
+320
Alexandre Pantoja
17
18
9
3.5
56.25%|9
31.25%|5
12.5%|2
16
-280
Kai Kara-France
58.33%|7
8.33%|1
33.33%|4
12
+210
Brandon Royval
7
3
40.0%|4
40.0%|4
20.0%|2
10
+100
Joshua Van
6
6.0
62.5%|5
0.0%|0
37.5%|3
8
-128
Beneil Dariush
1
12
13
5.7
39.13%|9
26.09%|6
34.78%|8
23
+100
Renato Moicano
27.78%|5
44.44%|8
27.78%|5
18
-128
Payton Talbott
25.0%|1
25.0%|1
50.0%|2
4
+148
Felipe Lima
5
0
4
-5.6
50.0%|1
50.0%|1
0.0%|0
2
-192
Undercard
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jack Hermansson
5
12
41.18%|7
23.53%|4
35.29%|6
17
+158
Gregory Rodrigues
10
3.0
30.0%|3
0.0%|0
70.0%|7
10
-205
Hyder Amil
2
11
1
12.9
33.33%|1
0.0%|0
66.67%|2
3
+134
Jose Delgado
0.0%|0
0.0%|0
100.0%|1
1
-172
Viviane Araujo
4
7
91.67%|11
0.0%|0
8.33%|1
12
+190
Tracy Cortez
15
2.9
100.0%|6
0.0%|0
0.0%|0
6
-260
Terrance McKinney
2
8
18
-11.0
0.0%|0
30.0%|3
70.0%|7
10
-200
Viacheslav Borshchev
62.5%|5
12.5%|1
25.0%|2
8
+154
Niko Price
22.22%|4
16.67%|3
50.0%|9
18
+600
Jacobe Smith
17
1
23
-16.2
0.0%|0
0.0%|0
100.0%|1
1
-1408
Fight Analysis Recap
Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.
