Results: UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan

Fight Info:
Location: Austin, Texas, United States
Elevation: 149.00m
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…
WTAI Model
Main Under Full
60.0% 25.0% 44.44%
Profit Model
Main Under Full
60.0% 50.0% 55.56%
Plain Model
Main Under Full
20.0% 50.0% 33.33%
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Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Beneil Dariush vs Arman Tsarukyan

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Arman Tsarukyan to Win

Beneil Dariush's Breakdown

Beneil Dariush, a seasoned lightweight, brings a well-rounded skill set to the octagon. With a recent loss to Charles Oliveira via KO/TKO, there's a notable vulnerability in Dariush's game against high-caliber strikers, as evidenced by his history of losses predominantly by KO/TKO. Despite this, Dariush has shown resilience and adaptability, bouncing back from setbacks to secure wins against tough competitors like Mateusz Gamrot and Tony Ferguson. His striking and grappling statistics reflect his balanced approach, yet recent bouts highlight a potential decline in his ability to absorb damage, especially concerning given Tsarukyan's aggressive striking style.

Arman Tsarukyan's Breakdown

Arman Tsarukyan is a rising star in the lightweight division, known for his explosive striking and relentless pressure. His recent victories, particularly the TKO win over Joaquim Silva, demonstrate his knockout power and ability to control the pace of the fight. Tsarukyan's stats reveal his proficiency in takedowns and striking, with a significant edge in striking output differential and accuracy compared to Dariush. His loss to Gamrot, a common opponent with Dariush, was by decision, indicating his endurance in grueling matches. Tsarukyan's recent performances suggest a fighter on the ascent, with increasing confidence and skill in each outing.

Analysis and Key Points

  • Dariush's vulnerability to KO/TKO is a major concern, especially against Tsarukyan's aggressive striking.
  • Tsarukyan's recent performances show an upward trajectory with improvements in striking and takedown abilities.
  • Dariush's experience and well-rounded skills are notable, but recent losses hint at a potential decline.
  • Tsarukyan's striking output and accuracy could overwhelm Dariush, who has been susceptible to such attacks in the past.

Conclusion

Considering the recent performances and statistics of both fighters, Tsarukyan's aggressive and precise striking, combined with his ability to execute takedowns effectively, positions him as the likely victor against Dariush. While Dariush's experience and versatility are formidable, his recent KO/TKO loss and decreasing ability to absorb significant strikes tilt the odds in Tsarukyan's favor. Therefore, WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Tsarukyan winning aligns with the analysis of both fighters' recent fights and overall capabilities.

UFC Fight Analysis: Rob Font vs Deiveson Figueiredo

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Rob Font to Win

Rob Font's Breakdown

Rob Font, with a record of 20-7, shows a striking prowess that's a cut above, especially with his head strikes landed per minute at 4.2344. Despite recent losses, his win against Adrian Yanez by TKO showcases his knockout power. Font’s takedown defense ratio of 1.1364 and takedown accuracy at 0.3714 also indicate he’s no slouch on the ground, a crucial aspect against Figueiredo. However, his recent performance is shaky with a 0.33 win rate in his last three fights, signaling a potential downward trend.

Deiveson Figueiredo's Breakdown

Deiveson Figueiredo, a former Flyweight champion with a 21-3 record, is a formidable opponent. He's known for his finishing ability, evident in his high submissions per fight (1.7973) and knockdowns per fight (0.9885). Despite his recent TKO loss to Brandon Moreno, Figueiredo’s versatile skill set, particularly his ground game, poses a significant threat. Moving up to Bantamweight could be a factor, potentially affecting his performance due to the weight class change.

Analysis and Key Points

Rob Font’s striking, particularly his head strikes, could be key against Figueiredo. However, Figueiredo's versatile attack, including submissions and knockdown ability, can’t be underestimated. The weight class change for Figueiredo is a critical factor to watch. Font’s recent record indicates potential vulnerabilities, especially against top-tier competition like Figueiredo.

Conclusion

While WolfTicketsAI favors Rob Font, this match-up is a clash of Font’s striking versus Figueiredo’s all-around game. Font's recent performances suggest vulnerabilities, but his striking power remains a significant threat. Figueiredo’s move to Bantamweight adds an intriguing layer, potentially impacting his performance. This fight could hinge on whether Font can leverage his striking prowess against Figueiredo’s versatile and powerful offense.

UFC Fight Analysis: Sean Brady vs Kelvin Gastelum

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Sean Brady to Win

Sean Brady's Breakdown

Sean Brady, a formidable competitor in the welterweight division, demonstrates a robust grappling game with an impressive record of 15 wins and only 1 loss, indicating his prowess in the octagon. His recent loss to Belal Muhammad by TKO might raise concerns about his striking defense, particularly under pressure. However, his wins over Michael Chiesa and Jake Matthews showcase his ability to dominate in grappling and control the pace of the fight. Brady's stats reveal a balanced mix of striking and grappling, with a notable takedown accuracy of 50% and a strong significant striking defense percentage of 62.19%. His recent fights show an increase in strikes landed per minute, suggesting an enhancement in his striking game. However, his recent loss by TKO should be noted as a potential vulnerability in striking exchanges.

Kelvin Gastelum's Breakdown

Kelvin Gastelum, transitioning back to welterweight, brings a mixed bag of results from his middleweight stint. His overall UFC record is less consistent than Brady's, with 18 wins and 8 losses. Gastelum's striking is commendable, demonstrated in his recent win against Chris Curtis, yet his susceptibility to submissions and struggles with maintaining a consistent win streak in recent years hint at potential issues in facing a grappler like Brady. His stats show a lower striking defense percentage (53.51%) compared to Brady, which might be a factor in a stand-up exchange. Gastelum's experience at middleweight against top-tier opponents could play a role in his resilience and adaptability in the fight.

Analysis and Key Points

  • Brady's recent loss by TKO is a red flag in his striking defense.
  • Gastelum's experience at a higher weight class and his striking prowess are significant, but his recent record shows inconsistency.
  • Brady's grappling and control might overpower Gastelum's striking-oriented approach.
  • Gastelum's transition back to welterweight could impact his performance, favoring Brady.

Conclusion

Given the recent performances and statistical analysis, Brady's grappling edge and improved striking, despite the recent TKO loss, might give him the upper hand against Gastelum. Gastelum's experience and striking are notable, but his inconsistency and struggles against grapplers could be a disadvantage. Therefore, WolfTicketsAI's prediction favoring Sean Brady seems well-founded, expecting his grappling control and evolving striking to secure the victory.

UFC Fight Analysis: Punahele Soriano vs Dustin Stoltzfus

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Punahele Soriano to Win

Punahele Soriano's Breakdown

Punahele Soriano, with a record of 9 wins and 3 losses, shows significant prowess in striking, evident from his high knockdowns per fight ratio (1.4460) and impressive striking accuracy (0.5110). However, his recent performance raises concerns. With a win percentage of only 0.33 in his last three fights, including a loss by KO/TKO to Roman Kopylov, his ability to take hits, especially to the head (2.8342 head strikes absorbed per minute), is questionable. This recent KO/TKO loss flags a potential vulnerability in upcoming fights. Despite this, his striking capabilities, both in terms of power and accuracy, cannot be overlooked.

Dustin Stoltzfus's Breakdown

Dustin Stoltzfus, entering this fight with 14 wins and 5 losses, presents a contrasting style. He has a more balanced approach with a decent takedown game (1.6309 takedowns per fight) and an inclination towards submissions (0.2718 submissions per fight). His recent performances, however, mirror Soriano's struggles, with a recent win percentage of 0.33. His last fight, a swift loss by KO/TKO to Abus Magomedov, also raises concerns about his striking defense, particularly against powerful strikers.

Analysis and Key Points

  1. Striking Prowess vs. Versatility: Soriano's striking, particularly his power and accuracy, is a significant advantage. Stoltzfus, while not as dominant in striking, brings a more rounded skill set with his grappling and submissions.

  2. Vulnerability to KOs: Both fighters have recent losses by KO/TKO, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their defense against powerful strikes.

  3. Soriano's Aggressive Style: Soriano's aggressive style and high output (4.9357 strikes landed per minute) could be a double-edged sword, providing opportunities but also exposing him to counter-strikes.

  4. Stoltzfus's Ground Game: Stoltzfus may look to exploit Soriano's weaker ground game, leveraging his higher takedown accuracy and submission skills.

Conclusion

Considering the striking power and accuracy of Soriano against the more versatile but less strikingly dominant Stoltzfus, and acknowledging both fighters' recent vulnerabilities, WolfTicketsAI's prediction in favor of Soriano seems grounded. Soriano’s potential to deliver powerful strikes might be the key in overcoming Stoltzfus's more rounded skill set. However, the recent KO/TKO losses for both fighters add an element of unpredictability to the bout, making it an intriguing match-up in the Middleweight division.

UFC Fight Analysis: Clay Guida vs Joaquim Silva

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Clay Guida to Win

Clay Guida's Breakdown

Guida, a seasoned veteran in the Lightweight division, comes into this fight with a mixed bag of recent performances. In his last six fights, Guida has only managed two wins against Scott Holtzman and Leonardo Santos, both by decision, showcasing his resilience and experience. However, losses to fighters like Rafa Garcia and Claudio Puelles raise questions about his ability to handle aggressive, striking-heavy opponents. Guida's style is characterized by high energy and a herky-jerky movement, making him unpredictable but also susceptible to sharp counters, as seen in his recent fights. His takedown game remains a critical component, but his striking defense, particularly against jabs, has been a weak point. Despite these challenges, Guida's endurance and grappling prowess can't be discounted.

Joaquim Silva's Breakdown

Silva enters this fight with a concerning trend of losses by KO/TKO, including recent defeats to Arman Tsarukyan and Ricky Glenn. This pattern suggests a vulnerability in Silva's striking defense, particularly against powerful and precise strikers. However, his win against Jesse Ronson by KO/TKO also showcases his own striking power and ability to finish fights. Silva's style is more striking-focused, with less emphasis on grappling compared to Guida. His aggressive approach can be a double-edged sword, offering knockout potential but also leaving him open to counterattacks.

Analysis and Key Points

Guida's experience and grappling could be key against Silva, who seems vulnerable to pressure and takedowns. Silva's recent losses by KO/TKO indicate a potential weakness in his striking defense, which Guida could exploit despite not being known for his knockout power. Guida's ability to endure strikes and maintain a high pace could tire Silva out, leading to opportunities for takedowns and control on the ground. Silva's power remains a threat, but his recent track record suggests difficulties in handling experienced fighters with solid ground games.

Conclusion

Guida's endurance, grappling skills, and ability to absorb punishment position him favorably against Silva, whose recent KO/TKO losses expose potential weaknesses in his striking defense and endurance. If Guida can withstand Silva's initial striking onslaught and implement his grappling-heavy strategy, he stands a good chance of controlling the fight and securing a victory.

UFC Fight Analysis: Miesha Tate vs Julia Avila

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Julia Avila to Win

Miesha Tate's Breakdown

Miesha Tate, a seasoned UFC fighter with notable grappling skills, has experienced a mixed bag in her recent UFC outings. She's lost three of her last five fights, with two losses by unanimous decision and a win by KO/TKO. Her striking stats show a balanced approach with decent striking accuracy, but her recent performance reveals a decline in effectiveness, particularly in striking defense. A major concern is her recent switch to Flyweight and back to Bantamweight, indicating potential issues with weight management and performance consistency.

Julia Avila's Breakdown

Julia Avila, a relatively newer face in the UFC with a stronger win record in recent fights, displays a balanced skill set with a notable edge in striking output and accuracy. Her recent performance includes a win by submission and a loss by unanimous decision. Avila's striking stats are impressive, particularly in her significant striking output differential and striking impact differential, suggesting she could outperform Tate in stand-up exchanges.

Analysis and Key Points

  1. Tate's Recent Performance: Tate's recent switch in weight class and her record of losing three out of her last five fights indicate potential challenges in maintaining peak performance.
  2. Avila's Striking Advantage: Avila's superior striking stats, especially in output and accuracy, could be pivotal against Tate, who has shown vulnerabilities in striking defense recently.
  3. Grappling Factor: While Tate is known for her grappling, her recent performances haven't consistently capitalized on this strength.

Conclusion

Considering the recent performances and stats, Julia Avila's advantages in striking, along with her consistent performance in the Bantamweight division, position her favorably against Miesha Tate. While Tate's experience and grappling skills are noteworthy, her recent record and potential issues related to weight class changes may hinder her performance. Avila's striking prowess and recent momentum suggest she is well-positioned to secure a win in this matchup.

UFC Fight Analysis: Drakkar Klose vs Joe Solecki

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Drakkar Klose to Win

Drakkar Klose's Breakdown

Drakkar Klose boasts a solid UFC record with notable victories, including a recent KO/TKO win over Brandon Jenkins. His striking game, exemplified by a higher Strikes Landed per Minute (6.5980) and Significant Strikes Landed per Minute (4.3758), is a key strength. Despite a loss to Beneil Dariush by KO/TKO, Klose's overall performance shows adaptability and resilience. He effectively utilizes leg kicks, demonstrated in his fights against Jenkins and Rafa Garcia, and has a decent takedown defense ratio (0.4400), though there's room for improvement.

Joe Solecki's Breakdown

Joe Solecki, with a strong grappling base, is a submission specialist, evident in his Submissions per Fight (1.4234) and impressive ground control, as seen in his recent submission win over Carl Deaton. His stand-up game, while not as dominant as Klose's, is competent, marked by a calculated approach in striking, shown in his fight against Alex Da Silva. Solecki's takedown game is robust, with a Takedown Accuracy of 0.4800, posing a threat if the fight goes to the ground.

Analysis and Key Points

Klose's striking prowess and recent KO/TKO victory highlight his stand-up skills. His ability to land significant strikes and maintain a higher striking output could be decisive. Solecki’s grappling and submission skills are formidable, but his stand-up game might struggle against Klose's striking. The fight could hinge on Klose's takedown defense and Solecki's ability to take the fight to the ground.

Conclusion

Considering Klose's striking advantage, recent performance, and resilience, coupled with Solecki's grappling skills and lesser striking capability, the prediction leans towards Klose. His ability to control the fight's pace and keep it standing gives him the edge in this matchup. However, Solecki's ground game remains a significant threat if he manages to overcome Klose's defenses.

UFC Fight Analysis: Wellington Turman vs Jared Gooden

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Wellington Turman to Win

Wellington Turman's Breakdown

Wellington Turman, moving down from middleweight to welterweight, shows a mixed bag in his UFC history. With a recent record of 3 wins and 4 losses in the UFC, including two losses via KO/TKO, Turman's durability is a concern. His striking and grappling stats reveal a decent takedown game (1.4923 takedowns per fight) but a concerning striking defense (significant striking defense percentage at 0.4640). His recent shift to welterweight needs to be monitored as weight class changes can impact performance.

Jared Gooden's Breakdown

Jared Gooden, holding a UFC record of 1 win and 3 losses, shows a tendency towards striking, with a higher strikes landed per minute rate (6.6412) compared to Turman. However, his striking defense is weaker (significant striking defense percentage at 0.4895), and he absorbs more head strikes per minute (4.8746). Gooden's recent unanimous decision losses indicate his struggles against strategic fighters.

Analysis and Key Points

Both fighters have vulnerabilities: Turman with his recent KO/TKO losses and Gooden with his striking defense. Turman's grappling could be a key factor, especially his takedown abilities against Gooden's weaker takedown defense (0.4615). Gooden's striking, particularly his leg kicks, could exploit Turman's lower body strikes absorbed per minute (0.8069). The weight class change for Turman adds an element of unpredictability.

Conclusion

Considering the stats and recent performances, Wellington Turman's grappling and experience at a higher weight class could give him an edge over Jared Gooden's striking-centric approach. Turman's ability to execute takedowns against Gooden's weaker defense could be pivotal. WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Turman winning seems grounded in his grappling advantage and Gooden's defensive weaknesses.

UFC Fight Analysis Jalin Turner vs Bobby Green

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Jalin Turner to Win

Background

Jalin Turner is set to face Bobby Green in a lightweight bout. Turner, with a professional record of 13 wins and 7 losses, is known for his striking skills and finishing ability. Bobby Green, a veteran with 31 wins and 14 losses, brings a wealth of experience and a well-rounded skill set to the Octagon.

Jalin Turner: Striking Power and Submission Threat

Turner's recent UFC performance demonstrates his versatility, winning multiple fights by both KO/TKO and submission. His ability to finish fights, evidenced by a high ratio of knockdowns (0.9661 per fight) and submissions (1.3525 per fight), makes him a formidable opponent. However, his recent win rate in the UFC is concerning, with a 33% win percentage in his last few bouts. This downward trend, coupled with his loss to Dan Hooker by decision, highlights potential vulnerabilities, especially in terms of endurance and handling pressure in high-stakes matches.

Bobby Green: Experience and Recent Upswing

Green’s recent UFC track record shows a mix of outcomes but includes impressive wins over notable opponents like Tony Ferguson and Grant Dawson. His striking accuracy and defense (0.5519 striking accuracy and 0.5952 striking defense percentage) are notable, suggesting his ability to land effective strikes while minimizing damage. His recent win percentage of 67% in the UFC indicates a positive trend and suggests that he's still improving and adapting his skills effectively.

Key Factors and Prediction

  1. Turner's Knockout Power: Turner's high knockdown ratio poses a significant threat to Green, especially considering Green’s history of being knocked out, like against Islam Makhachev.

  2. Green's Experience and Resilience: Green’s extensive UFC experience and recent performance indicate a fighter who can handle pressure and adapt to different fighting styles.

  3. Downward Trend for Turner: Turner’s recent UFC performance suggests a decline, potentially impacting his confidence and strategy going into the fight.

  4. Green’s Adaptability: Green's ability to bounce back from losses and win against high-caliber fighters demonstrates his resilience and tactical acumen.

WolfTicketsAI predicts a win for Jalin Turner. Despite Turner's recent losses, his knockout power and submission threat are significant. However, Green’s experience and recent performance make this an intriguing matchup. Turner’s striking and finishing ability are likely to be the decisive factors in this fight. Expect a high-paced, striking-focused battle, with Turner potentially securing a win via knockout or submission.

Conclusion

Turner’s power and versatility against Green’s experience and recent upswing make this a must-watch bout. While Turner is favored by WolfTicketsAI, Green's resilience and tactical fighting style could make for a competitive and exciting fight.