Results: UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2

Fight Info:
Location: Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Elevation: 27.00m
WTAI Model
Main Under Full
100.0% 60.0% 77.78%
Profit Model
Main Under Full
75.0% 40.0% 55.56%
Plain Model
Main Under Full
100.0% 40.0% 66.67%
Selected Bets for Event:

No parlays selected for this event.

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorrect predictions are shown in red.
Main Card Predictions
Undercard Card Predictions
Fight Analysis

This lightweight title fight at UFC 284 is a rematch between champion Islam Makhachev and former featherweight king Alexander Volkanovski. The Great challenged Makhachev for the belt in February and lost a close decision, but his relentless pressure fighting style earned him a rematch. Though Volkanovski is moving up a weight class, his recent TKO of Yair Rodriguez shows his capability for a KO win. However, Makhachev's grappling pedigree and win streak present a stiff test. Volkanovski must avoid the Dagestani's takedowns to utilize his technical striking. While an upset is possible, Makhachev remains the heavy favorite according to WolfTicketsAI given his continued dominance since their first fight. This should be a tactical battle between two elite fighters.

WolfTicketsAI predicts Khamzat Chimaev to defeat Kamaru Usman in their upcoming UFC middleweight bout at UFC 294. This prediction is reasonable based on several factors:

  • Usman is coming off back-to-back losses to Leon Edwards, including dropping the UFC welterweight title in a stunning 5th round KO. He hasn't fought at middleweight before, so this is a new weight class for the 36-year old.

  • Chimaev is undefeated at 12-0 in his pro MMA career, with dominant finishes in the UFC over top competition like Gilbert Burns. At 29, he's in his athletic prime and moving back down to middleweight where he's had success.

  • In terms of recent performance metrics, Chimaev has significant advantages in knockdowns, striking accuracy and impact. He also has never been taken down in his UFC fights, while Usman's takedown defense has slipped recently.

  • While Usman is the more experienced fighter overall, his late career slide and bout at 185 lbs make Chimaev the safer pick here as an emerging elite fighter still gaining momentum.

Ankalaev is the clear favorite going into this light heavyweight matchup, and for good reason. With an 18-1 record and coming off a controversial split draw against Jan Blachowicz for the vacant title, Ankalaev has been on a tear through the 205 lb division. His wrestling, grappling, and power striking have proven extremely difficult to deal with. Walker will be a unique challenge with his 6'6 frame and dangerous kicks, but his 7 UFC losses show inconsistency. WolfTicketsAI is smart to predict Ankalaev here. He was robbed of the belt last time, and will be fiercely determined to make a statement that he is the top contender, leaving Walker starched on the canvas.

Aliskerov is riding high after a first round KO of Phil Hawes back in May. With 14 wins and just 1 loss, he's proven to be a dangerous striker who can end fights suddenly. Alves on the other hand has struggled as of late, losing 4 of his last 6. While he has more experience than Aliskerov, his downward trajectory indicates that his best days may be behind him. WolfTicketsAI has predicted Aliskerov to get his hand raised in this one. Given Aliskerov's momentum and Alves' recent skid, this seems like a sound prediction. Aliskerov's fight ending power coupled with Alves' deteriorating durability spells trouble for the veteran. Don't be surprised if Aliskerov adds another KO to his highlight reel.

This bantamweight matchup between Said Nurmagomedov and Muin Gafurov pits an established Dagestani veteran against a less experienced Tajik newcomer. Nurmagomedov has compiled an impressive 17-3 record professionally including wins over top contenders like Ricardo Ramos. However, he is coming off a close decision loss to Jonathan Martinez. Gafurov recently lost his UFC debut by decision to John Castaneda, so he'll look to rebound against Nurmagomedov's stifling wrestling. Nurmagomedov likely holds the technical and experience edges, and WolfTicketsAI is predicting him to exploit Gafurov's defensive wrestling holes for a bounce-back victory

WolfTicketsAI has predicted Mokaev to reign supreme in his upcoming scrap with Elliott. The 23-year-old phenom is undefeated with 4 dominant wins in the Octagon, exhibiting vicious ground and pound and a nasty guillotine choke. Meanwhile the 36-year-old Elliott's best days appear behind him, with a 3 fight loss streak starting in 2019, and being 2-1 in his last 3 against lower ranked opposition. Elliott's slippery scrambles could frustrate early but Mokaev's relentless pressure and nasty top game should overwhelm as the fight wears on. Expect The Punisher to continue his rampage, notching another W to remain unbeaten.

WolfTicketsAI has predicted Anshul Jubli to defeat Mike Breeden, which is a reasonable pick given the data. Jubli is undefeated with 7 wins and no losses or no contests. He has finished every UFC fight by KO/TKO showing dangerous striking accuracy, power, and defense. His striking stats are far superior to Breeden's in accuracy and impact. Breeden is on a 3 fight losing skid with 2 by KO/TKO which is concerning for his chin and Wolftickets likely factored this recent poor stretch into their prediction. Breeden does have more MMA experience but his 10-6 record shows inconsistency. Coming off 2 bad KO losses and facing a surging finisher like Jubli spells trouble for Breeden. The betting odds confirm Anshul Jubli as a heavy favorite. Look for the King of Lions to continue his reign of terror against the outmatched Money Breeden.

Muhammad "Hillman" Naimov has his work cut out for him taking on veteran contender Nathaniel "The Prospect" Wood in this featherweight matchup. While Naimov is a dangerous striker with knockout power, his limited UFC experience could be a problem against the crafty Wood. Wood has 20 wins under his belt and has faced top competition, recently defeating Fili and Jourdain. However, his 5 losses show he is beatable, including KO defeats to Dodson and Kenney. This fight likely comes down to whether Naimov can avoid Wood's submissions while landing his powerful strikes. WolfTicketsAI is predicting Wood, but don't count out the heavy-handed Naimov as the underdog. This should be an exciting scrap between a tested veteran and an upstart knockout artist.

WolfTicketsAI has predicted Viktoriia Dudakova to defeat Jinh Yu Frey. This prediction seems reasonable based on the data provided. Dudakova is undefeated in her 7 professional fights, demonstrating potential as an up-and-coming contender. However, her record is still quite limited, so we must be cautious in evaluating her skills. In contrast, Frey is a veteran of the UFC with over 20 professional fights. But she has struggled as of late, losing 3 of her last 5 bouts. At 38 years old, she appears to be on the downslope of her career. Her recent defeats have exposed deficiencies in her striking defense and takedown ability. Additionally, Frey is coming 3 losses back to back including 1 KO which is always a dangerous sign. Fighters who suffer knockouts are more susceptible to being finished in subsequent fights. While Dudakova lacks experience, she seems to have momentum and athleticism on her side. WolfTicketsAI is wise to favor the young lioness over the aging former contender in this matchup. Barring a veteran resurgence from Frey, Dudakova should be able to outpoint her en route to a decision win.